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Live predictions and aggregated results

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Online prediction

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Online jobs

Watchlist

Ticker	Price	Day	30 sessions	Forecast (Ensemble) ⓘIndicative 0–100 score: 60% skill (model historical error vs. the volatility-implied move) and 40% agreement between models on direction. It is not a guaranteed probability of profit.	Track record	Last run

Latest forecasts

Latest verifications

Aggregated results

Period Model Horizon Ticker Origin ⓘWalk-forward test: the model is trained only on data before each date and compared with the real outcome. It is generated after the fact, so it never counts towards the live Track Record, Success Stories or What-If.

Accuracy by model ⓘShare of verified predictions that got the direction (up/down) right. 50% is a coin flip.

50% = coin flip

Weekly accuracy

50% = coin flip

Error distribution ⓘHistorical mean absolute error. It shows how far, on average, the model is from the observed price. Lower is better.

Confidence calibration ⓘCompares stated confidence with realised accuracy. If confidence is useful, bars should rise to the right.

By horizon

Best tickers

Upcoming verifications

Pending Ensemble forecasts by target date